CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 9z vs ODDIK (BO5) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3de940f519b52d73425fcac2dc489991644cc33a623f8c1010892a905ed26bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof 9z, ODDIK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked ODDIK | 13c | 1,853$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.69 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ODDIK | 16c | 1,800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ODDIK | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…70cdbacked ODDIK | 17c | 584.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked 9z | 73c | 234.24$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed ODDIK | 14c | 230.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed ODDIK | 32c | 207.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed ODDIK | 12c | 195.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed ODDIK | 13c | 149.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked ODDIK | 20c | 94.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked ODDIK | 18c | 89.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…1038backed ODDIK | 22c | 53.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 9z | 78c | 48.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ODDIK | 23c | 44.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 9z | 73c | 16.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked 9z | 75c | 15.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs ODDIK (BO5) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs ODDIK - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs ODDIK - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs ODDIK - Map 3 WinnerODDIK won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs ODDIK - Map 4 Winner9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.