CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Outfit 49 vs BOSS (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa48e1a357282d4b5c4662746f8f80da1b9810ba9d8fd0e482c021821a089a731
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BOSSof Outfit 49, BOSS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BOSS | 53c | 1,622$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.08 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed BOSS | 68c | 1,044$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.01 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…3027backed BOSS | 60c | 903.16$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…b921backed Outfit 49 | 69c | 615.45$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.32 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Outfit 49 | 42c | 595.92$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Outfit 49 | 45c | 436.34$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Outfit 49 | 45c | 401.65$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.51 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed BOSS | 56c | 365.24$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Outfit 49 | 40c | 347.84$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BOSS | 47c | 276.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Outfit 49 | 49c | 264.78$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BOSS | 43c | 258.62$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Outfit 49 | 50c | 246.91$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Outfit 49 | 20c | 217.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac30…7be9backed BOSS | 29c | 198.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Outfit 49 | 59c | 195.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Outfit 49 | 50c | 184.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed Outfit 49 | 52c | 154.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BOSS | 49c | 145.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed BOSS | 39c | 145.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked BOSS | 68c | 144.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Outfit 49 | 42c | 136.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BOSS | 70c | 135.59$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Outfit 49 | 46c | 103.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…fd65backed Outfit 49 | 61c | 93.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Outfit 49 | 30c | 91.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…f8bbbacked BOSS | 75c | 79.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Outfit 49 | 38c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Outfit 49 | 33c | 74.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Outfit 49 | 68c | 73.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Outfit 49 | 38c | 68.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BOSS | 73c | 65.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked BOSS | 59c | 62.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Outfit 49 | 46c | 56.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BOSS | 51c | 55.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Outfit 49 | 49c | 55.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Outfit 49 | 61c | 51.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…a860backed Outfit 49 | 58c | 50.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Outfit 49 | 58c | 50.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked BOSS | 48c | 49.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed BOSS | 61c | 47.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…f490backed BOSS | 62c | 45.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked BOSS | 32c | 43.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed BOSS | 61c | 39.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked BOSS | 56c | 34.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Outfit 49 | 35c | 34.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed BOSS | 52c | 33.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c40…44a1backed BOSS | 64c | 30.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed BOSS | 57c | 30.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Outfit 49 | 41c | 29.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…9cd5backed Outfit 49 | 35c | 29.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3d…5d2fbacked BOSS | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…edaabacked BOSS | 52c | 21.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4754…c1fdbacked BOSS | 66c | 18.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Outfit 49 vs BOSS (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Outfit 49 vs BOSS - Map 1 WinnerOutfit 49 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.