TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Texas beat Clemson by 12 or more points?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texasof Texas, Clemson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3194…eb07backed Clemson51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a78…dbf7backed Clemson45c185$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08bf…4e13backed Clemson44c185$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4671…b662backed Texas56c185$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffe…6d93backed Texas55c185$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2278…2a4bbacked Texas55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b7…555ebacked Clemson45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3d…a54bbacked Texas58c179$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab36…c299backed Clemson42c179$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c56…712cbacked Texas56c178$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0605…cea2backed Texas55c178$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x715c…1e6fbacked Clemson44c178$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0055…265bbacked Clemson45c178$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb954…6930backed Texas55c177$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1dc…abbdbacked Clemson45c177$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c33…cea0backed Clemson45c176$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a42…dd5fbacked Texas55c176$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd37…a2f9backed Texas55c176$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4394…dd4bbacked Clemson45c176$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cb…b752backed Texas55c175$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bb…9ccebacked Clemson45c175$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9361…bea8backed Texas55c175$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa73c…0472backed Clemson45c175$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a3c…f9e5backed Texas55c174$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad83…775ebacked Texas55c174$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb1…3291backed Clemson45c174$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183b…95b6backed Clemson45c174$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed9a…4890backed Clemson45c173$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf385…68e9backed Texas55c173$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a9…8020backed Clemson45c172$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a64…453dbacked Texas55c172$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c3…f849backed Clemson45c172$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…e75fbacked Texas55c172$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bde…b1debacked Texas55c172$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa92…161fbacked Clemson45c172$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92e4…2e86backed Texas55c171$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc172…672bbacked Texas55c171$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8fd…f11cbacked Texas55c171$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e65…5733backed Clemson45c171$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3765…2e63backed Texas55c171$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60b…5ef1backed Clemson45c171$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc017…b661backed Clemson45c171$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c5…99f7backed Clemson45c171$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bc…857cbacked Texas55c169$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc557…00f2backed Clemson45c169$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cc…4ae2backed Texas55c168$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x790a…0280backed Clemson45c168$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52fa…c25fbacked Clemson45c167$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f31…89fabacked Texas55c167$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa59a…ba0cbacked Clemson45c167$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2823…8572backed Texas55c167$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0cd…651fbacked Clemson44c166$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6809…1435backed Clemson45c166$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…0ad8backed Texas56c166$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc26f…bc7cbacked Texas55c166$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83d…4670backed Clemson45c165$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5e…9fa5backed Clemson45c165$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c5f…be95backed Clemson45c165$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a0…d952backed Texas55c165$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…04c1backed Texas55c165$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de9…9f21backed Texas55c165$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1779…635bbacked Texas55c165$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaab…9a97backed Clemson45c165$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce14…4f57backed Texas55c164$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ba…f0b2backed Texas55c164$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98eb…5535backed Texas55c164$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd6…6659backed Clemson45c164$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02e8…e736backed Clemson45c164$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5513…3b5ebacked Clemson45c164$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7fc…5099backed Clemson45c163$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb02…f8c8backed Clemson45c163$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ba…143bbacked Texas55c163$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf888…355fbacked Texas55c163$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce94…8449backed Clemson45c162$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa161…95dabacked Texas55c162$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…a75ebacked Texas55c162$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0c…3c1ebacked Clemson45c162$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…8a90backed Texas55c161$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcb…b533backed Clemson45c161$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82db…be16backed Clemson45c157$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2f…a176backed Texas55c157$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa1…9afcbacked Clemson45c156$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba6…efc2backed Texas55c156$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b2…8dc5backed Clemson45c156$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c32…001dbacked Clemson45c156$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5b…ea91backed Texas55c156$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…5728backed Texas55c156$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c51…cee0backed Clemson45c156$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4651…52dfbacked Texas55c156$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…93a6backed Texas55c154$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e82…9b0fbacked Clemson45c154$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77e9…2df3backed Texas55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb807…1ca1backed Texas55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3331…2da3backed Clemson45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3275backed Clemson45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f6…1cedbacked Texas60c149.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x715c…065bbacked Texas55c149$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c10…f9ecbacked Clemson45c149$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28b7…7934backed Texas55c148$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d3…5f5dbacked Clemson45c148$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.