Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Jacksonville State vs. Louisiana Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4fc7d36e26b320d7630fc412bf1c456b85022865f969864d2cf42ff7155530c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacksonville Stateof Jacksonville State, Louisiana Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jacksonville State | 41c | 405$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.95 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Louisiana Tech | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…d2e8backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 161$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…1766backed Louisiana Tech | 50c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…f13fbacked Louisiana Tech | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff98…74dcbacked Jacksonville State | 51c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…e943backed Louisiana Tech | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…cf46backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc2…6057backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…f9d3backed Louisiana Tech | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…c856backed Louisiana Tech | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…f443backed Louisiana Tech | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…0492backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…994cbacked Jacksonville State | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe374…3365backed Louisiana Tech | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbb…a526backed Louisiana Tech | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Jacksonville State | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Louisiana Tech | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…40a8backed Jacksonville State | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…7738backed Louisiana Tech | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…54c5backed Jacksonville State | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.