Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rzeszow: Alan Wazny vs Karol Filar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5aa46f62c8e318867015ae31ef0001742d15a00606df5059dfa13889bdcb60b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alan Waznyof Alan Wazny, Karol Filar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Karol Filar | 33c | 2,881$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.62 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alan Wazny | 67c | 2,027$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.4 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alan Wazny | 68c | 1,334$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.95 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alan Wazny | 74c | 355.65$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Karol Filar | 25c | 162.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Karol Filar | 25c | 162.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Karol Filar | 26c | 157.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Karol Filar | 32c | 138.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Karol Filar | 28c | 128$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Karol Filar | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Alan Wazny | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Alan Wazny | 60c | 92.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karol Filar | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Karol Filar | 29c | 63.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Alan Wazny | 66c | 60.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Alan Wazny | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Karol Filar | 25c | 54.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Alan Wazny | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Alan Wazny | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Alan Wazny | 68c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Karol Filar | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Alan Wazny | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Karol Filar | 48c | 42.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Alan Wazny | 68c | 38.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Alan Wazny | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Karol Filar | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Alan Wazny | 64c | 21.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alan Wazny | 48c | 21.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Karol Filar | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alan Wazny | 69c | 15.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Alan Wazny | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.