Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Michigan vs. Ball State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5e5b312bab10181dc1f81f7a833e947d94152457aad1854d9dbd8bacd712b4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Michiganof Central Michigan, Ball State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ball State | 41c | 1,040$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.6 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Central Michigan | 59c | 679.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.66 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Central Michigan | 59c | 340.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Central Michigan | 59c | 339.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.27 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ball State | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fce…415ebacked Ball State | 50c | 229$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…8466backed Ball State | 50c | 216$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…0fc4backed Central Michigan | 61c | 185$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…8f5ebacked Central Michigan | 59c | 152.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…d3c4backed Ball State | 44c | 111.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…5449backed Central Michigan | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 44cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Central Michigan | 48c | 96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…ab3ebacked Central Michigan | 59c | 95.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…a0e8backed Ball State | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…3894backed Ball State | 43c | 81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…3edfbacked Central Michigan | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…b1e1backed Central Michigan | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d8…5af0backed Ball State | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…fd5fbacked Central Michigan | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…b374backed Central Michigan | 68c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +158.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…a1a1backed Central Michigan | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3e…9a55backed Central Michigan | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…bcd9backed Ball State | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69d…5868backed Central Michigan | 56c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…de6fbacked Ball State | 39c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…050ebacked Ball State | 47c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b1…8e24backed Ball State | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…8046backed Ball State | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…30a7backed Ball State | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…e6aebacked Central Michigan | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…c888backed Ball State | 39c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…e6a4backed Ball State | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…93cbbacked Ball State | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b3…a4ccbacked Central Michigan | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…bd20backed Central Michigan | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…8793backed Central Michigan | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…1af3backed Ball State | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad83…8b97backed Central Michigan | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ca…d77bbacked Ball State | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcf…e8adbacked Ball State | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…a791backed Central Michigan | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…b062backed Central Michigan | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…210abacked Ball State | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…cd2cbacked Central Michigan | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…a3a9backed Ball State | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…b649backed Central Michigan | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…db18backed Central Michigan | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…9755backed Ball State | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c2…2f9abacked Ball State | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb77f…d928backed Ball State | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…bfeabacked Ball State | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa931…afafbacked Central Michigan | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…594cbacked Ball State | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…d5ecbacked Ball State | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…ee69backed Central Michigan | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…6315backed Central Michigan | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077e…2cddbacked Ball State | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…a782backed Ball State | 42c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321f…18a7backed Central Michigan | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +223.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb92…feb9backed Central Michigan | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…5b3bbacked Ball State | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb21…3a4dbacked Ball State | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…a2c3backed Central Michigan | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa6…f50abacked Central Michigan | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…4afebacked Ball State | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…243ebacked Central Michigan | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4954…dd32backed Ball State | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…b361backed Ball State | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…d5b3backed Ball State | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…612cbacked Central Michigan | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286b…c908backed Central Michigan | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…21bcbacked Ball State | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…7f64backed Central Michigan | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…fb94backed Ball State | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fd…b83bbacked Ball State | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…7782backed Central Michigan | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb244…5794backed Ball State | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…4a3cbacked Ball State | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…0c8abacked Central Michigan | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…e138backed Central Michigan | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…2728backed Ball State | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e05…3e33backed Central Michigan | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…96e5backed Ball State | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Ball State | 41c | 32.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…6a69backed Ball State | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…03dcbacked Central Michigan | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3c…2e34backed Ball State | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…43cbbacked Ball State | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f3…0ab3backed Ball State | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…9ea5backed Central Michigan | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…cf59backed Ball State | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc3…e7a8backed Ball State | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f3…ec34backed Central Michigan | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…0c9ebacked Central Michigan | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6dcebacked Ball State | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…2c1cbacked Central Michigan | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…3bbdbacked Central Michigan | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…ac7ebacked Central Michigan | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…cf66backed Central Michigan | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef1…1451backed Central Michigan | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.