Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bucharest 3 (Romania), clay: Gabriel Ghetu vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa60ee5fda526da00ec6d8c2d675dab6e889e2d92765fdf113929640a9010c143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gabriel Ghetuof Gabriel Ghetu, Stefan Adrian Andreescu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stefan Adrian Andreescu | 39c | 1,574$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.12 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gabriel Ghetu | 65c | 596.85$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.78 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gabriel Ghetu | 62c | 403.12$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad0…7150backed Stefan Adrian Andreescu | 33c | 357.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefan Adrian Andreescu | 32c | 199.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Gabriel Ghetu | 54c | 179.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gabriel Ghetu | 59c | 176.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Gabriel Ghetu | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Gabriel Ghetu | 62c | 97.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Gabriel Ghetu | 64c | 92.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 726 | 38.3%278 W · 448 L | -34.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gabriel Ghetu | 58c | 67.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 6,584 | 54.4%3,584 W · 3,000 L | +286.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Stefan Adrian Andreescu | 38c | 64.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 460 | 64.3%296 W · 164 L | +24.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Gabriel Ghetu | 58c | 51.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 877 | 38.2%335 W · 542 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…bc8ebacked Stefan Adrian Andreescu | 44c | 45.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Gabriel Ghetu | 34c | 40.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 654 | 47.7%312 W · 342 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Stefan Adrian Andreescu | 46c | 38.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,856 | 46.8%868 W · 988 L | -55.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Gabriel Ghetu | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 336 | 67.9%228 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Gabriel Ghetu | 65c | 26.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 387 | 31.3%121 W · 266 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Gabriel Ghetu | 68c | 25.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 401 | 46.4%186 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Stefan Adrian Andreescu | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Gabriel Ghetu | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 536 | 47%252 W · 284 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Gabriel Ghetu | 76c | 14.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.