Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa63be3214c0b2e6285e478f0f0e0ae24dcdc80e88514590be617ef600c12ca68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Southern Eaglesof Marshall Thundering Herd, Georgia Southern Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,276 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 51c | 899.8$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.9 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 49c | 495.97$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.03 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 49c | 404.69$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.44 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 49c | 388.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.14 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 51c | 356.85$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.86 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 51c | 308.93$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 49c | 164.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 68c | 83.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 66.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 50c | 60.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 49c | 59.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 50c | 59.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 50c | 40.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-3.5)this page
- Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering HerdGeorgia Southern Eagles won
- Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 166.5Under won
- Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 167.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.