Asian League · resolved market
Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6767da07fd6e9cce57902df45257a5fc385849ebf59db860963571d8aa4801d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 41c | 1,631$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.43 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,195$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 1,030$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.36 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 31c | 857$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.67 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Under | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 52c | 569$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.13 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 494.48$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.13 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Over | 43c | 343.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 284.92$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 205.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 25c | 175.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 99.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 25c | 88.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 52.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…122dbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 40c | 42.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Over | 54c | 34.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 60c | 18.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.