Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SaD Esports vs sleepers (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6d5bce40eb7d19d2071c56beb9358c65283d77defa29efdfd7ceb974b5812dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SaD Esportsof SaD Esports, sleepers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed sleepers | 0c | 4,700$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed sleepers | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed SaD Esports | 60c | 464.37$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked SaD Esports | 61c | 443.75$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed sleepers | 45c | 390.63$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked SaD Esports | 60c | 388.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed SaD Esports | 60c | 382.05$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed sleepers | 35c | 303.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked sleepers | 42c | 260$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed sleepers | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…d57dbacked sleepers | 41c | 214.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked SaD Esports | 59c | 194.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed SaD Esports | 62c | 194.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed SaD Esports | 69c | 151.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8852…4963backed SaD Esports | 60c | 117$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…5432backed sleepers | 45c | 110.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed SaD Esports | 62c | 96.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked sleepers | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked SaD Esports | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked SaD Esports | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed SaD Esports | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed sleepers | 44c | 34.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed sleepers | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SaD Esports | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb270…420fbacked SaD Esports | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SaD Esports vs sleepers (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagethis page
- Valorant: SaD Esports vs sleepers - Map 1 WinnerSaD Esports won
- Valorant: SaD Esports vs sleepers - Map 2 Winnersleepers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.