TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

New Mexico vs. Nevada

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New Mexicoof New Mexico, Nevada
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,412 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x480d…f219backed Nevada46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23039144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed New Mexico54c437.5$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2518850%94 W · 94 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7d…35bebacked Nevada50c241$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49fc…07cabacked Nevada50c213$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e2…5fe7backed New Mexico51c185$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…d1e0backed New Mexico50c147$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe089…e4fdbacked Nevada50c145$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ce…2786backed Nevada50c134$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be1…4a57backed New Mexico50c133$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…20b4backed Nevada50c129$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e4…b015backed New Mexico50c119$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc685…d042backed New Mexico50c103$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd3…1f26backed Nevada50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9938…9d41backed New Mexico50c84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c2…9c1abacked New Mexico50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed New Mexico56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.513050%65 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eac…a930backed New Mexico51c57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a7…3035backed Nevada50c56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fe…41a6backed New Mexico50c54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7968…3b50backed New Mexico51c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+62.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d3…ee41backed Nevada49c51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb305…8269backed New Mexico50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d15…2605backed New Mexico50c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…dc6dbacked Nevada50c47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8544…6a33backed Nevada49c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9020…f183backed Nevada49c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Nevada47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.151,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5afc…5c44backed Nevada50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+81.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…6a70backed New Mexico50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18fb…4ee0backed Nevada49c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6559…6e46backed Nevada51c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4029…a496backed Nevada50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34da…01b5backed New Mexico49c43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2982…d973backed New Mexico50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de2…7d11backed New Mexico50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8802…db18backed New Mexico50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9573…ad43backed New Mexico50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68f7…1b8cbacked New Mexico50c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.52per pick32cpaid+144.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x560f…0601backed Nevada50c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee6…8bb6backed New Mexico50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fb…d13fbacked New Mexico50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb58c…2c37backed Nevada50c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.530%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32e8…318fbacked Nevada49c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x150d…ae01backed Nevada50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd460…ce5cbacked New Mexico50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4613…3036backed Nevada49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87f6…200ebacked New Mexico50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ae…7e94backed Nevada50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea4c…f2fdbacked New Mexico52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bfd…158abacked Nevada50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa756…762cbacked New Mexico50c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf49a…46f8backed Nevada50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b1…83e6backed Nevada50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef80…ea9fbacked Nevada50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced1…ca59backed Nevada49c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x214c…e092backed New Mexico51c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a7…1783backed New Mexico50c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7e…15e1backed New Mexico50c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47bc…2748backed Nevada50c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x565e…32f0backed New Mexico50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…9105backed Nevada48c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd934…3515backed Nevada50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x484f…132dbacked Nevada49c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4282…ed93backed New Mexico50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5533…386abacked Nevada50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e0…d119backed New Mexico50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc18…aeb9backed Nevada50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a5…32c8backed New Mexico50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ff…3213backed Nevada50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f9…924abacked New Mexico50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4632…e209backed Nevada50c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1c8…e724backed New Mexico50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422f…3ffbbacked New Mexico50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed71…07bebacked New Mexico50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…7da1backed New Mexico50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…13a2backed New Mexico50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed8…2b3abacked New Mexico50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc5e…6368backed Nevada48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c2a…6fc6backed Nevada50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d7…5cb4backed Nevada49c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44cb…b250backed New Mexico51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f7c…2d59backed New Mexico50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d6…362fbacked New Mexico49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1323…2240backed New Mexico52c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e22…3c78backed New Mexico51c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e41…dacbbacked Nevada49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe53…9eb1backed Nevada48c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97d2…63e6backed Nevada49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe36f…0b21backed Nevada49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbe…63ecbacked Nevada51c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae53…c71ebacked Nevada49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6600…5f0cbacked New Mexico51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa615…faacbacked New Mexico51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7377…5123backed New Mexico52c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b29…0c9ebacked New Mexico51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ba…0699backed Nevada50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2a…4047backed New Mexico51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.745100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+112.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f15…9cc8backed New Mexico52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked New Mexico50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9360551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0cc…6767backed New Mexico50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.