Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wisconsin vs. Minnesota
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa74c7f2ceb61d92830817329bdcb9e8eb85cc74eeec34dcddb76ae1c600f9bf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wisconsinof Wisconsin, Minnesota
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc211…689bbacked Minnesota | 28c | 586$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…d1ffbacked Wisconsin | 72c | 420$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a47…f730backed Minnesota | 22c | 357$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wisconsin | 51c | 259$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…1bc3backed Wisconsin | 78c | 206$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…26b4backed Minnesota | 27c | 202$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wisconsin | 56c | 193$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…8592backed Wisconsin | 73c | 171$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…78f7backed Minnesota | 27c | 135$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…908cbacked Minnesota | 27c | 82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…ad1dbacked Wisconsin | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77a…a9cebacked Minnesota | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…58f0backed Wisconsin | 72c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…9f4abacked Minnesota | 21c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb548…371dbacked Minnesota | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb403…4a53backed Minnesota | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…11b2backed Minnesota | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wisconsin | 72c | 51.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…799bbacked Minnesota | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…ec27backed Minnesota | 29c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…19ffbacked Minnesota | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…c5ccbacked Wisconsin | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…f63abacked Minnesota | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3522…ad88backed Wisconsin | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9102…6c23backed Wisconsin | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12b…19abbacked Wisconsin | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…4e08backed Wisconsin | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…0033backed Wisconsin | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…e5d8backed Wisconsin | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e3…be0cbacked Wisconsin | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…8a60backed Wisconsin | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…605bbacked Wisconsin | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61d…601abacked Wisconsin | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…c3eebacked Wisconsin | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +227.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x388c…49b4backed Wisconsin | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9076…23c5backed Wisconsin | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…ac1bbacked Minnesota | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86b…085fbacked Wisconsin | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…d3ddbacked Wisconsin | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…0f8dbacked Wisconsin | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c6…5d57backed Wisconsin | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…bc96backed Wisconsin | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x647f…d665backed Wisconsin | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…6bbabacked Wisconsin | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccc…32c1backed Wisconsin | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…ae26backed Wisconsin | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…cc38backed Wisconsin | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3229…b556backed Wisconsin | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5508…90ffbacked Wisconsin | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838e…4298backed Wisconsin | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…93a4backed Wisconsin | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371f…9133backed Wisconsin | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…f7bdbacked Wisconsin | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d93…3851backed Wisconsin | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc3…e7a8backed Wisconsin | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…9accbacked Wisconsin | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882d…718abacked Wisconsin | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6c…08bcbacked Wisconsin | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.