Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UIC vs. Northern Iowa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa74fe14e7e49e02b624e731c26a4cad9794d2ff792b3421f028813cbde0a6f2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Iowaof UIC, Northern Iowa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d80…c2b7backed UIC | 25c | 179$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…2676backed UIC | 20c | 92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…4c9fbacked Northern Iowa | 75c | 92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…191bbacked UIC | 24c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…dff1backed UIC | 20c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked UIC | 23c | 63.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Northern Iowa | 77c | 61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…6107backed Northern Iowa | 79c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…2c2abacked UIC | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fc…8924backed UIC | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…9d01backed UIC | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x280a…78cabacked Northern Iowa | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf522…b2c0backed Northern Iowa | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…ff8abacked Northern Iowa | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…770cbacked Northern Iowa | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0d…f99dbacked Northern Iowa | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…0aefbacked Northern Iowa | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650e…6a91backed Northern Iowa | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe58f…32acbacked Northern Iowa | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20df…65ccbacked Northern Iowa | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…c366backed Northern Iowa | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…dde2backed Northern Iowa | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…0e32backed Northern Iowa | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x462c…60c6backed Northern Iowa | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…5e9bbacked Northern Iowa | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568f…b817backed Northern Iowa | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…44b1backed Northern Iowa | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…e7fcbacked Northern Iowa | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e3…fb75backed Northern Iowa | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…572ebacked Northern Iowa | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…05dcbacked Northern Iowa | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…df03backed Northern Iowa | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…f0f0backed Northern Iowa | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…9acabacked Northern Iowa | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5d…3481backed Northern Iowa | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf82…4ef9backed Northern Iowa | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…6c62backed Northern Iowa | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fd…87b1backed Northern Iowa | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.