CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa776a938b9d16142e1cf6b2080bd2ad0ec7a592ef2017edf82d638fcb420e58d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Entropy, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 869.65$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.15 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Entropy | 27c | 721.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.11 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Misa Esports | 74c | 671$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.58 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Entropy | 21c | 538.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Misa Esports | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Entropy | 47c | 427$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Entropy | 47c | 151.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Misa Esports | 68c | 150.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Entropy | 32c | 135.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0420…58bbbacked Entropy | 24c | 116.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Entropy | 20c | 111.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked Entropy | 20c | 99.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked Entropy | 26c | 97.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Entropy | 25c | 92.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Entropy | 21c | 69.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Misa Esports | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Entropy | 21c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 50.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Misa Esports | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…ae26backed Entropy | 23c | 49.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Entropy | 74c | 32.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Misa Esports | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group DMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerEntropy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.