Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Houston Christian Huskies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7aeaf3a0745e78210a5fcbc02724e3a6e640f57e6b6ecc4faa6312a01cd1579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksof Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, Houston Christian Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Houston Christian Huskies | 23c | 1,699$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.73 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Houston Christian Huskies | 19c | 1,307$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.33 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 79c | 583.29$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 77c | 379.29$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Christian Huskies | 12c | 313.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Houston Christian Huskies | 20c | 244.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Houston Christian Huskies | 22c | 150.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Houston Christian Huskies | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Houston Christian Huskies | 20c | 149.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 77c | 135.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Christian Huskies | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Houston Christian Huskies | 13c | 91.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Houston Christian Huskies | 23c | 86.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 77c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Houston Christian Huskies | 23c | 53.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…f023backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 79c | 33.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 77c | 26.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Houston Christian Huskiesthis page
- Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-8.5)Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.