Tennis · resolved market
San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa88b0f7a86752d20de3c8a23dbec9148528803af3d3b7f09e5c4528b4a03d97a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nikoloz Basilashviliof Michael Vrbensky, Nikoloz Basilashvili
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Michael Vrbensky | 31c | 5,338$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 79c | 3,737$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.31 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 78c | 2,771$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.64 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Michael Vrbensky | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Michael Vrbensky | 16c | 1,265$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.47 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Michael Vrbensky | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 74c | 1,220$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.49 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed Michael Vrbensky | 14c | 1,103$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Michael Vrbensky | 42c | 1,022$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.33 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 71c | 1,022$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.44 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Michael Vrbensky | 15c | 914.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Michael Vrbensky | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Michael Vrbensky | 15c | 399.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…a79abacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 70c | 396.14$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Michael Vrbensky | 23c | 388.12$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Michael Vrbensky | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Michael Vrbensky | 9c | 311.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Michael Vrbensky | 26c | 307.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 65c | 269.75$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Michael Vrbensky | 32c | 229.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 69c | 211.35$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 74c | 161.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Michael Vrbensky | 22c | 155.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 65c | 153.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 64c | 135.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Michael Vrbensky | 14c | 110.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…31bfbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Michael Vrbensky | 36c | 97.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 76c | 97.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 78c | 88.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Michael Vrbensky | 34c | 82.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 73c | 60.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Michael Vrbensky | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 283 | 43.8%124 W · 159 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Michael Vrbensky | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Michael Vrbensky | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…e949backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 66c | 29.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Nikoloz Basilashvili | 66c | 18.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Marino: Michael Vrbensky vs Nikoloz Basilashvilithis page
- Vrbensky vs. Basilashvili: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.