Tennis · resolved market
Copa Colsanitas: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8e19230eaa317e77718209d4d1763924739f409397b518e4f59d219755bb14e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jessica Bouzas Maneiroof Sarah Rakotomanga, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 2c | 4,881$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 19c | 2,175$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.78 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 3c | 516$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 80c | 375.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce5…0f71backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 8c | 295.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 22c | 289.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 78c | 251.87$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…fb78backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 14c | 190.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 21c | 184.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 290 | 28.3%82 W · 208 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 22c | 157.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 16c | 137.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 22c | 125.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 78c | 113.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 21c | 69.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 77c | 64.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 18c | 62.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 77c | 41.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…d2d4backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 74cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Copa Colsanitas: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirothis page
- Set Handicap: Maneiro (-1.5) vs Rakotomanga (+1.5)Maneiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.