Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa96df79b3d9f8f169438f86f7e8d4d799ae858c64d953576b5038dd5e209ff01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sam Houston Stateof Kennesaw State, Sam Houston State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Kennesaw State | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Sam Houston State | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kennesaw State | 18c | 690$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sam Houston State | 56c | 330.24$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.65 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kennesaw State | 41c | 291.31$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.44 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…ba55backed Sam Houston State | 50c | 159$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 41cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…944fbacked Kennesaw State | 44c | 132.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…ca31backed Kennesaw State | 44c | 127.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…678bbacked Sam Houston State | 50c | 124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…1aefbacked Sam Houston State | 59c | 109.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…963dbacked Sam Houston State | 59c | 93.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…0f06backed Kennesaw State | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Sam Houston State | 59c | 67.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…5391backed Kennesaw State | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…e799backed Kennesaw State | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…3948backed Sam Houston State | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…40fabacked Sam Houston State | 59c | 54.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5da…25f5backed Sam Houston State | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…b16dbacked Kennesaw State | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…667ebacked Kennesaw State | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…f703backed Kennesaw State | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Kennesaw State | 45c | 44.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ec…9873backed Sam Houston State | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…9231backed Kennesaw State | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…e339backed Kennesaw State | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa9…e725backed Sam Houston State | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…2f21backed Kennesaw State | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kennesaw State | 41c | 29.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…fb8abacked Sam Houston State | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…4abcbacked Kennesaw State | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…89e1backed Kennesaw State | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…affcbacked Kennesaw State | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe9…5f24backed Sam Houston State | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…0d36backed Sam Houston State | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5130…6cedbacked Sam Houston State | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4375…6b5abacked Sam Houston State | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.