Tennis · resolved market
ITF Southaven: Alina Shcherbinina vs Carson Tanguilig
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9705b58c744369acb3495fba62ed8c2e171c79483c03e1aac55f7aa1ce1d1ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carson Tanguiligof Alina Shcherbinina, Carson Tanguilig
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Carson Tanguilig | 31c | 1,917$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.87 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alina Shcherbinina | 67c | 1,168$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.4 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Alina Shcherbinina | 64c | 616.82$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carson Tanguilig | 75c | 424.8$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Carson Tanguilig | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Carson Tanguilig | 30c | 205.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alina Shcherbinina | 62c | 204.66$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alina Shcherbinina | 11c | 126.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Carson Tanguilig | 36c | 88.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 75c | 79.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Carson Tanguilig | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Carson Tanguilig | 53c | 62.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Carson Tanguilig | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 70c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Alina Shcherbinina | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 64c | 30.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Carson Tanguilig | 62c | 29.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Alina Shcherbinina | 63c | 24.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Alina Shcherbinina | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.