Tennis · resolved market
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alisa Oktiabreva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa971166e26f866bb57c60a388408e79588f82b3b3f1bff7268822b4700e300c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alisa Oktiabrevaof Lea Ma, Alisa Oktiabreva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Lea Ma | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Lea Ma | 14c | 3,061$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.82 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lea Ma | 2c | 2,033$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 77c | 801.27$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.73 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Lea Ma | 23c | 715.39$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Lea Ma | 15c | 603.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lea Ma | 12c | 537.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…dc67backed Lea Ma | 22c | 512.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Lea Ma | 21c | 337$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 270 | 40%108 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lea Ma | 15c | 301.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lea Ma | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Lea Ma | 20c | 294$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lea Ma | 12c | 284.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Lea Ma | 10c | 232.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Lea Ma | 9c | 209.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf760…1334backed Lea Ma | 20c | 208$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Lea Ma | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lea Ma | 17c | 151.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Lea Ma | 19c | 148.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lea Ma | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Lea Ma | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Lea Ma | 20c | 86.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lea Ma | 17c | 79.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…0dbfbacked Lea Ma | 23c | 74.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Lea Ma | 16c | 74.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Lea Ma | 18c | 72.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lea Ma | 17c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Alisa Oktiabreva | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alisa Oktiabreva | 78c | 34.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.