College Football · resolved market
Will South Carolina beat Missouri?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9ef39666c356a2767d4a8f9e7a938c5edc0fc84891f666b31d706a33d079b6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cocksof Cocks, Missouri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cocks | 74c | 25,736$19,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,712.71 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Missouri | 30c | 11,779$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Missouri | 16c | 5,722$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Missouri | 19c | 4,096$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.85 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Missouri | 21c | 2,531$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.41 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…a986backed Cocks | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Cocks | 78c | 1,070$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +324.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Missouri | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Missouri | 17c | 880.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Missouri | 21c | 476.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Cocks | 8c | 450$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Missouri | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed Cocks | 66c | 375$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…2a31backed Missouri | 20c | 150.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Missouri | 17c | 116.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cocks | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Missouri | 19c | 94.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Missouri | 21c | 51.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Missouri | 52c | 21.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Carolina beat Missouri?this page
- Will South Carolina and Missouri combine for 48 or more points?Over won
- Will South Carolina beat Missouri by 15 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.