Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa2467c07e3e8e73b184c7943bce3f5b93d972ba259c0d7a69cf66d0f6e4d655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swedenof Indonesia, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Indonesia | 9c | 441.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Indonesia | 33c | 237.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Indonesia | 31c | 207.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Indonesia | 34c | 199.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Sweden | 66c | 198.84$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Indonesia | 34c | 192.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Indonesia | 23c | 164.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Sweden | 73c | 153.76$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df9…4d73backed Sweden | 68c | 144.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…2d95backed Indonesia | 25c | 109.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sweden | 68c | 105.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Sweden | 63c | 84.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Sweden | 51c | 59.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Sweden | 66c | 56.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…7e99backed Sweden | 63c | 39.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Sweden | 68c | 36.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -9.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Sweden | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…72d8backed Indonesia | 50c | 28.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…aad7backed Sweden | 50c | 27.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Sweden | 67c | 26.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…e7ccbacked Indonesia | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…677bbacked Sweden | 50c | 24.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f11…ecf2backed Indonesia | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…3506backed Sweden | 50c | 21.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…8e06backed Sweden | 69c | 17.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Swedenthis page
- T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden - Who wins the toss?Sweden won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.