Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Winthrop vs. Longwood
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa37b8433ec006b4c1b75988e749ed2e920f43b798d55d5a75b115c711e31913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Winthropof Winthrop, Longwood
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4c5…b06cbacked Longwood | 58c | 223$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…d1ffbacked Longwood | 50c | 199$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe7…0282backed Winthrop | 45c | 193$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…f54bbacked Winthrop | 42c | 175$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…1e4cbacked Longwood | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9814…2f30backed Winthrop | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf77…0276backed Longwood | 50c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…b736backed Winthrop | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…cbf8backed Winthrop | 42c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…ea33backed Longwood | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…9e42backed Longwood | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b61…33e2backed Winthrop | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…c797backed Longwood | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…c0d4backed Longwood | 33c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df9…606cbacked Winthrop | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…e582backed Winthrop | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe265…aa11backed Winthrop | 44c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc4…696ebacked Longwood | 58c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…50afbacked Winthrop | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6112…6c53backed Longwood | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…afecbacked Winthrop | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…a955backed Longwood | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…2761backed Longwood | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a1…cddabacked Longwood | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf5…aa19backed Longwood | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…a1f5backed Winthrop | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e9…5070backed Longwood | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f6…b1a4backed Winthrop | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…2af1backed Longwood | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…770cbacked Winthrop | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0d…f99dbacked Winthrop | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…2aeebacked Longwood | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c1…b2f1backed Winthrop | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…d552backed Longwood | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01b…3bb5backed Winthrop | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…9fa6backed Winthrop | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efb…26ffbacked Winthrop | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…bc1cbacked Winthrop | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1efe…824fbacked Longwood | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…1ecdbacked Winthrop | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…255dbacked Longwood | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…67b1backed Winthrop | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 44cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…8a37backed Longwood | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…2983backed Winthrop | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…dd7cbacked Winthrop | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…9f26backed Winthrop | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…396cbacked Winthrop | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…441dbacked Winthrop | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.