Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs LAZER - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa8571e309dced6a01d3d0acf162f4d2051f2c5eccf2373c437daec574dd134b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tezcat Gamingof Tezcat Gaming, LAZER
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,741 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Tezcat Gaming | 63c | 589.26$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LAZER | 31c | 308.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed LAZER | 36c | 280.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LAZER | 25c | 269.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LAZER | 37c | 219$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LAZER | 32c | 159$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Tezcat Gaming | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked LAZER | 33c | 63.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tezcat Gaming | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Tezcat Gaming | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tezcat Gaming | 69c | 42.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tezcat Gaming | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tezcat Gaming | 69c | 29.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs LAZER - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group StageTezcat Gaming won
- Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs LAZER - Map 1 WinnerTezcat Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.