Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
DePaul vs. Providence
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaa56ac0c9cc83dc7b031f6c6f3a00906eed842259482b6ede45e88f0a132072
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DePaulof DePaul, Providence
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked DePaul | 21c | 900.14$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.41 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…14debacked Providence | 80c | 146$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…0e89backed DePaul | 25c | 146$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…1d51backed Providence | 77c | 117$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…8214backed Providence | 75c | 114$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…38eabacked Providence | 75c | 110$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked DePaul | 23c | 109.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Providence | 77c | 105.32$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…d8f0backed Providence | 76c | 87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…1c93backed DePaul | 25c | 83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…3170backed DePaul | 25c | 81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bc4ebacked DePaul | 25c | 78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…88d1backed DePaul | 18c | 72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…5bbabacked Providence | 74c | 71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…7f54backed DePaul | 26c | 71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x346b…bcc4backed DePaul | 25c | 65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…561bbacked Providence | 75c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…373cbacked DePaul | 25c | 64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…604dbacked Providence | 76c | 62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Providence | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…3f84backed DePaul | 25c | 58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…560cbacked Providence | 76c | 56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…56e8backed DePaul | 25c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x979e…8ed7backed Providence | 76c | 54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…5fe7backed Providence | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…45dcbacked Providence | 75c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…94cebacked Providence | 80c | 31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…be46backed Providence | 75c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…84f6backed Providence | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…6c4bbacked Providence | 75c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…6666backed Providence | 80c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…abd0backed Providence | 80c | 27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7962…8a8ebacked Providence | 77c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e0…5480backed Providence | 75c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5509…d68abacked Providence | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…14dbbacked Providence | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa311…cdf0backed Providence | 80c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a2…16aabacked Providence | 80c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…c40fbacked Providence | 75c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6a…a7eebacked Providence | 80c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…bc95backed Providence | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…abf5backed Providence | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccef…8f75backed Providence | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…b042backed Providence | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…13fbbacked Providence | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de6…70f6backed Providence | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…57e5backed Providence | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e7…a18fbacked Providence | 77c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Providence | 76c | 16.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…4cf4backed Providence | 80c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…b30ebacked Providence | 80c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…1af3backed Providence | 80c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…c090backed Providence | 80c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef3…f494backed Providence | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.