NBA · resolved market
May 13 NBA Parlay: Cavaliers and Thunder both win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaff7f187cbd9ff649673e3ba07ed6acc17e85f962e9c88ab08e4e7a1f4ba98b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 3,466$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked No | 44c | 2,074$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.59 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,791$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.68 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 57c | 1,789$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.02 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe0…511dbacked Yes | 57c | 605$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144d…f0f2backed No | 43c | 565$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c74…392cbacked No | 44c | 558.51$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Yes | 56c | 436.49$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.44 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed No | 42c | 399.97$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.98 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…4875backed No | 43c | 310$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…c602backed No | 43c | 225$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…2edabacked No | 45c | 213.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…f9d7backed Yes | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3a…9b33backed No | 45c | 149.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed No | 45c | 131.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed No | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…4427backed Yes | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 58c | 114.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…2d83backed No | 45c | 111.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…0824backed Yes | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9753…d519backed No | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…62e9backed Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 57c | 88.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd616…1106backed No | 43c | 88.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5915…536bbacked No | 44c | 51.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 56c | 39.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 56c | 33.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…9743backed No | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f68…74b4backed Yes | 58c | 28.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed No | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…374dbacked Yes | 58c | 26.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…c035backed No | 43c | 26.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d4…fda3backed Yes | 58c | 26.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…f38dbacked No | 44c | 25.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.