CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab66306d83f830827d24ad1eb5c72f9649c71f659324fda7f7ce937fc2dc029c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof TDK, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,404 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TDK | 29c | 854.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.22 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 741.61$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.98 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 648.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.1 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked TDK | 9c | 502.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 428.64$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.29 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…0c26backed TDK | 49c | 405.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed TDK | 18c | 387.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed TDK | 57c | 320$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TDK | 57c | 277.44$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TDK | 41c | 213.06$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 16c | 202.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed TDK | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 135$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 127.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed TDK | 58c | 109.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83cb…1038backed TDK | 58c | 89.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 58.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed TDK | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed TDK | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 49.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked TDK | 27c | 48.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c922backed TDK | 43c | 44.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked TDK | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TDK | 59c | 32.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked TDK | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed TDK | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed TDK | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.