Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TLNP (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab7a79c6377519abea35b63d50ff4feabbbd6a8bb11c07cda3ee24338151a99e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp Blueof TLN Pirates, Karmine Corp Blue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed TLN Pirates | 24c | 4,175$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.41 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Karmine Corp Blue | 76c | 3,382$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.86 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…c965backed Karmine Corp Blue | 76c | 908.36$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 75c | 651$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked TLN Pirates | 24c | 630$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed TLN Pirates | 24c | 198$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp Blue | 76c | 197.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TLNP (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)TLN Pirates won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 WinnerTLN Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.