Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabb5bfc32881d2e914758c2f404c7f9757cee07b74bea05243cb9f2bd6b57f41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 52c | 15,037$7,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,831.7 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 46c | 8,436$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.25 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 7,604$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 49c | 2,985$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.2 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 48c | 2,470$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.68 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.78 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 919.38$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.3 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 45c | 814.93$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.59 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 550.56$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.07 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 535$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.21 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…fe91backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 48c | 184.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 54c | 138.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 52c | 93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Under | 54c | 60.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 49c | 52.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 52c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears: O/U 153.5this page
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State BearsKennesaw State Owls won
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears: O/U 152.5Over won
- Spread: Missouri State Bears (-2.5)Kennesaw State Owls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.