Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rhode Island Rams vs. Yale Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabf040c34815babe96f37457b55d93eb7de8a332f2e56c904d850cf8b25baf3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rhode Island Ramsof Rhode Island Rams, Yale Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yale Bulldogs | 78c | 813.33$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.29 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 583.05$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.88 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Rhode Island Rams | 20c | 464$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.2 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Rhode Island Rams | 21c | 266$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.14 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…5c89backed Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Rhode Island Rams | 21c | 209$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Rhode Island Rams | 21c | 126$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -10.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Rhode Island Rams | 21c | 118$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Rhode Island Rams | 19c | 96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rhode Island Rams | 20c | 81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed Rhode Island Rams | 20c | 65.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Rhode Island Rams | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yale Bulldogs | 74c | 48.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Yale Bulldogs | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.