NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac10b3dbcf277b5a7684d66d04ff286b68b7e8b1aa645830089d62f25e2b6d42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Sharks, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks | 3c | 2,609$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sharks | 34c | 559.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Islanders | 69c | 500$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.71 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Sharks | 31c | 496.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 65c | 403.35$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders | 66c | 355$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Islanders | 66c | 350.76$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Islanders | 68c | 300$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 63c | 277.35$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebf…6356backed Sharks | 34c | 174.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks | 38c | 160$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Sharks | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf64…8133backed Sharks | 35c | 141.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Sharks | 34c | 116.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…c4f7backed Sharks | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed Sharks | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sharks | 11c | 109.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…3017backed Islanders | 68c | 108.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Sharks | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Sharks | 35c | 92.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Islanders | 66c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a2…e03fbacked Sharks | 34c | 82.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e3…d01ebacked Islanders | 67c | 78.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…d9b2backed Islanders | 68c | 78.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…c4c0backed Islanders | 67c | 73.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0400backed Islanders | 68c | 72.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…aca8backed Sharks | 34c | 70.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…0348backed Islanders | 67c | 69.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…5a45backed Sharks | 34c | 68.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Sharks | 32c | 67.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…171fbacked Islanders | 67c | 63.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…b3ffbacked Sharks | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb071…a76ebacked Sharks | 35c | 56.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks | 32c | 55.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…9c86backed Islanders | 67c | 50.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca4…3d4abacked Islanders | 67c | 43.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b25…3db4backed Islanders | 67c | 35.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…c613backed Sharks | 34c | 34.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…1f2dbacked Islanders | 67c | 34.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…58abbacked Sharks | 33c | 33.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c62…672dbacked Islanders | 66c | 32.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…febebacked Islanders | 66c | 30.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Islanders | 69c | 30.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…9f73backed Islanders | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…83a9backed Islanders | 68c | 29.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…ee51backed Islanders | 67c | 28.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…5033backed Islanders | 66c | 28.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae40…7e72backed Islanders | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…b228backed Islanders | 66c | 27.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de0…09a1backed Islanders | 66c | 26.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9990…9432backed Islanders | 67c | 26.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a2…c32ebacked Islanders | 67c | 25.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1144backed Islanders | 66c | 22.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…7616backed Islanders | 67c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e8…56ccbacked Islanders | 66c | 21.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85aa…b0afbacked Islanders | 66c | 21.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…e4e1backed Islanders | 66c | 20.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…912dbacked Islanders | 66c | 19.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…15e0backed Islanders | 68c | 18.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…4699backed Islanders | 67c | 17.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…ebb4backed Islanders | 66c | 16.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Islanders | 66c | 16.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f2…235fbacked Islanders | 66c | 15.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3193…78c6backed Islanders | 66c | 15.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.