CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac34c6eeea528764a3b693d78da16c2543c7b3cb26dd7e2b1056e2a27754a700
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, largadosypelados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked largadosypelados | 12c | 824.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked largadosypelados | 16c | 773.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed largadosypelados | 17c | 462.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed largadosypelados | 9c | 431.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 62c | 405.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked largadosypelados | 8c | 326.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed largadosypelados | 10c | 206.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…22febacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 192.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked largadosypelados | 12c | 128.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked largadosypelados | 13c | 101.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…052dbacked largadosypelados | 38c | 38.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 30.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…bce6backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 76c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 82 | 22%18 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffslargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.