Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oral Roberts vs. North Dakota State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xace4989de7dc068fad2ef9592bc8393d25682a42696cd6c5e15a5edda1538504
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota Stateof Oral Roberts, North Dakota State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oral Roberts | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…828abacked Oral Roberts | 12c | 187$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…f3a3backed Oral Roberts | 11c | 162$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d4…10bfbacked North Dakota State | 69c | 159$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked North Dakota State | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Oral Roberts | 23c | 96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…b988backed Oral Roberts | 12c | 95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…5258backed North Dakota State | 55c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…99efbacked North Dakota State | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c22…e09abacked Oral Roberts | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…da1bbacked Oral Roberts | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…3449backed Oral Roberts | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cc…3984backed North Dakota State | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe230…30c7backed Oral Roberts | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…04acbacked Oral Roberts | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Dakota State | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…f7f4backed North Dakota State | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d8…1da4backed Oral Roberts | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5397…fcf7backed Oral Roberts | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d95…4fe1backed Oral Roberts | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4c…8f53backed North Dakota State | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…2a1abacked Oral Roberts | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…ff97backed North Dakota State | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0557…7090backed Oral Roberts | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…a97ebacked Oral Roberts | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…d52abacked Oral Roberts | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…ab67backed North Dakota State | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…7264backed North Dakota State | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…402bbacked Oral Roberts | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…2cc2backed Oral Roberts | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2aa…4680backed Oral Roberts | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb643…b4f9backed Oral Roberts | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…ecd6backed North Dakota State | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.