Lol · resolved market
LoL: DRX Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaceeb0ea6c6470e70827d6b9c7542e33ee480e9c95867543f3d847839ca6026c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolster Challengersof DRX Challengers, KT Rolster Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed DRX Challengers | 47c | 438.65$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed KT Rolster Challengers | 53c | 242.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed DRX Challengers | 46c | 81.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed KT Rolster Challengers | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed KT Rolster Challengers | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed KT Rolster Challengers | 72c | 69.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed KT Rolster Challengers | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed DRX Challengers | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DRX Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: DRX Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3)KT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: DRX Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.