CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs 8Sins - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad2bcaee4d6786d0de3dd830ee446ee3d93b8d3bec1c92fba9b6dd5c92a95afd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 8Sinsof Pigeons, 8Sins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c8c…f2cebacked Pigeons | 34c | 1,254$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.01 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 8Sins | 67c | 1,229$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.37 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Pigeons | 37c | 675.7$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.31 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Pigeons | 25c | 511.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 8Sins | 71c | 327.11$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Pigeons | 27c | 128.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 8Sins | 71c | 82.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Pigeons | 33c | 79.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 8Sins | 67c | 71.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked 8Sins | 66c | 24.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs 8Sins - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs 8Sins (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs8Sins won
- Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs 8Sins - Map 1 Winner8Sins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.