TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: GZ (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ground Zero Gamingof Ground Zero Gaming, DetonatioN FocusMe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,788 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f4e…b690backed Ground Zero Gaming40c927.5$370 inWon+$557.6782554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed DetonatioN FocusMe61c500$305 inLost-$3053,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked DetonatioN FocusMe17c455.31$79 inLost-$79.273551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+287.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed DetonatioN FocusMe59c405.5$239 inLost-$239.2542143.9%185 W · 236 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Ground Zero Gaming38c126$48 inWon+$78.1235442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed DetonatioN FocusMe62c116$72 inLost-$71.921,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed DetonatioN FocusMe22c98.25$22 inLost-$21.8897854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe67c50$34 inLost-$33.528647.9%137 W · 149 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Ground Zero Gaming33c50$17 inWon+$33.535443.2%153 W · 201 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed DetonatioN FocusMe66c45$30 inLost-$29.726048.8%127 W · 133 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked Ground Zero Gaming34c45$15 inWon+$29.750550.7%256 W · 249 L+34.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Ground Zero Gaming78c29.42$23 inWon+$6.471,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked DetonatioN FocusMe61c22$13 inLost-$13.422,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Ground Zero Gaming78c16.03$13 inWon+$3.5322265.3%145 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f8…1d2fbacked Ground Zero Gaming76c13.24$10 inWon+$3.182470.8%17 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.