Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae3a7a5ed192969e947fb23aee4ed85172bf855843661913f3e0c7597b2fbdca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 46c | 3,602$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.72 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 58c | 2,506$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.61 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 799.1$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 28c | 796.06$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.16 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 625.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 46c | 472.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 50c | 373.53$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.56 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 305.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 30c | 287.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.18 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed No | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked No | 56c | 234.71$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed No | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed Yes | 13c | 169.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 163.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 159.13$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 59c | 131.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 113.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed No | 35c | 109.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 80c | 101.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed No | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…6862backed Yes | 72c | 92.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 31c | 85.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…b958backed Yes | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3827…5455backed Yes | 65c | 52.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 51c | 51.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 57c | 48.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked No | 57c | 43.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 52c | 37.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 51c | 34.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes | 51c | 34.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 51c | 34.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 51c | 34.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 51c | 34.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 51c | 34.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 47c | 31.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4b24backed Yes | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 55c | 28.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…d3cbbacked Yes | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked No | 58c | 24.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8fe3backed No | 52c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 60c | 18.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Falkirk FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.