Lol · resolved market
LoL: Joblife vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae5a9ac7ba95f9bbb0ca13ff35c5e3d39b32de4e1949dc797a703272db843fd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Joblife, Solary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Solary | 70c | 4,122$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.84 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Joblife | 33c | 3,281$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.8 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Joblife | 36c | 2,716$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.63 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Solary | 65c | 2,151$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.88 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Joblife | 34c | 1,686$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.05 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked Solary | 64c | 1,247$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Joblife | 2c | 1,050$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Solary | 64c | 999.95$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.98 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Joblife | 37c | 816.22$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Joblife | 40c | 797.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.36 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Solary | 64c | 780$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Solary | 65c | 689.99$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.52 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Solary | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Solary | 68c | 589.69$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.83 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Joblife | 32c | 422.15$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Solary | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Solary | 15c | 293.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.67 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Joblife | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…972ebacked Joblife | 9c | 221.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked Joblife | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 6.3%11 W · 165 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked Joblife | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Joblife | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Joblife | 35c | 180.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Solary | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Solary | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Solary | 67c | 148.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Joblife | 36c | 135$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Solary | 64c | 132$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Joblife | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Joblife | 36c | 106.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Joblife | 32c | 103.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…216abacked Solary | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Joblife | 38c | 87.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Solary | 66c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Joblife | 35c | 67.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Joblife | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Solary | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Solary | 65c | 61.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Joblife | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Joblife | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…86b1backed Solary | 67c | 59.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Joblife | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Solary | 64c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Joblife | 35c | 50.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Solary | 65c | 40.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Solary | 66c | 40.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Solary | 65c | 38.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Solary | 65c | 38.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Solary | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Joblife | 37c | 36.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Joblife | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Joblife | 36c | 33.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Joblife | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Joblife | 36c | 32.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Joblife | 37c | 31.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…830ebacked Solary | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Solary | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed Solary | 68c | 29.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Solary | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Solary | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Solary | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Solary | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.