Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf098fba13fa74a1c7a266f69da2685faf5b7ee42e0f6911cb2b8d8554f9440b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 53c | 1,462$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.65 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 51c | 360.3$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.12 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 352.62$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 312.25$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 52c | 299.97$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…0bacbacked Yes | 54c | 268.95$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 264.28$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 48c | 226.13$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.59 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 41c | 212.1$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 46c | 182.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 48c | 145.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 50c | 99.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 52c | 92.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…6ea7backed Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Yes | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Yes | 53c | 52.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 48c | 44.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc1…4ff3backed Yes | 50c | 42.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abe…6753backed Yes | 52c | 35.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…f5eabacked Yes | 41c | 35.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 49c | 33.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 48c | 30.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Yes | 53c | 29.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed No | 55c | 29.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed No | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…4e86backed Yes | 52c | 22.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?this page
- Torino FC leading at halftime?No won
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.