Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC San Diego vs. CSU Bakersfield
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf228ca65f940bb10d36b0df4acbb784ad93712bb84f75c5ad7d19d81d808401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC San Diegoof UC San Diego, CSU Bakersfield
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96b6…39fbbacked CSU Bakersfield | 11c | 212$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4688…9e75backed CSU Bakersfield | 12c | 132$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked CSU Bakersfield | 10c | 103.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…2d8dbacked UC San Diego | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096d…78dabacked CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab0…c471backed CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…2da7backed UC San Diego | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…d1dabacked CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…2a1abacked UC San Diego | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…79a2backed CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…04b2backed UC San Diego | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c29…baf7backed UC San Diego | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f75…2067backed CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…4e85backed CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…5cdfbacked CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…be80backed UC San Diego | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80af…1893backed UC San Diego | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b61…d9e4backed CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…a085backed CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…9dd9backed CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…f8bbbacked UC San Diego | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…0f75backed UC San Diego | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26d…baf6backed CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…ff24backed UC San Diego | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4a…5eefbacked UC San Diego | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180d…a4eebacked CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe374…3365backed UC San Diego | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf356…07c2backed CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…ab4bbacked UC San Diego | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…dc28backed CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…5ae5backed UC San Diego | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…91dcbacked CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6b…09e9backed CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b01…5711backed CSU Bakersfield | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…0223backed UC San Diego | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.