Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafa4cb2ca95263a4df5e74e03fc4a72b9ff58f55c8a171dd888525bba0b9a0e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 27c | 1,934$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.28 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,272$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.33 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 44c | 1,265$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.14 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 841.02$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.65 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 64c | 708.76$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.2 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 70c | 611$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.58 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 44c | 539.6$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.33 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 432.42$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.11 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 51c | 417.23$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.92 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 37c | 415.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.95 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked No | 34c | 306.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.91 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 301$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.61 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 44c | 273.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 29c | 205.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 35c | 192.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.21 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 71c | 183.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 183.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…1f94backed Yes | 48c | 159.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Yes | 68c | 147.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 56c | 120.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 62c | 118$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 10c | 101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 78.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 30c | 55.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 46c | 54.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 37c | 44.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 69c | 43.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 61c | 42.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 39.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 49c | 36.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 49c | 36.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 53c | 35.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 71c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c66…0a4fbacked Yes | 63c | 16.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 69c | 16.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.