Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stony Brook vs. Northeastern
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb01c8daba54cdf1e590da5a83f7df77766e60482937687dff1b1364b8235ce87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northeasternof Stony Brook, Northeastern
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Stony Brook | 14c | 600$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b6…39fbbacked Northeastern | 50c | 295$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…dc1dbacked Stony Brook | 50c | 127$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…4c94backed Stony Brook | 15c | 99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd488…5c6cbacked Stony Brook | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…c20ebacked Stony Brook | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…b6d6backed Stony Brook | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…72cbbacked Stony Brook | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…abe9backed Northeastern | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…df6cbacked Northeastern | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5526…8421backed Stony Brook | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ad…5ef6backed Northeastern | 29c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e6…6ab2backed Stony Brook | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…3b6abacked Stony Brook | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…4d97backed Northeastern | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…ca27backed Northeastern | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f1…8716backed Stony Brook | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…dae3backed Stony Brook | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cc…c4cebacked Stony Brook | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.