Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Eastern Washington Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb060c7b675274c1fec5af274a809d1c6011e464b1d1a2e6a411802247f85d492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Washington Eaglesof Northern Arizona Lumberjacks, Eastern Washington Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 22c | 4,255$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.85 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 78c | 2,674$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.85 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 18c | 1,353$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.58 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 20c | 1,277$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.4 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 78c | 1,180$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.68 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 80c | 991.42$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.28 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 14c | 533$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 80c | 497.2$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 18c | 442.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 79c | 397.68$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 19c | 99.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 19c | 99.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 19c | 91.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 19c | 90.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2dd6backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 79c | 23.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesthis page
- Spread: Eastern Washington Eagles (-9.5)Eastern Washington Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.