CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb21848f56793d609e5d3d969a210a5bc2c4bb384d3fac93ad1ea3cec78c1f0ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,924 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d54…56ecbacked K27 | 53c | 377$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 261.36$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…8d6bbacked K27 | 53c | 247$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bd…f29dbacked Eternal Fire | 31c | 239$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked K27 | 48c | 214.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…d42cbacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 197$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50b…d661backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 190$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9c…0f14backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 175$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…7807backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 173$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…ec29backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 159$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdb…d61abacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 151$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374f…64acbacked Eternal Fire | 31c | 149$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…05e2backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 117$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire | 31c | 90.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked K27 | 69c | 59.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed K27 | 45c | 51.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked K27 | 61c | 21.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked K27 | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.