CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team SNAILKICK vs Team Morphe_ya (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb21b37331e38095a1361d7b373feebb141dd0e300879b3a2ed855c7e4afc05fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team SNAILKICKof Team SNAILKICK, Team Morphe_ya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,826 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e83…d461backed Team Morphe_ya | 59c | 474.69$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team SNAILKICK | 53c | 414.2$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team SNAILKICK | 46c | 177.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…2d9bbacked Team Morphe_ya | 62c | 161.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Team SNAILKICK | 33c | 137.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Team SNAILKICK | 31c | 104.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Team SNAILKICK | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Team Morphe_ya | 55c | 89.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3f…0924backed Team SNAILKICK | 40c | 74.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Team Morphe_ya | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Morphe_ya | 31c | 56.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ea…baa4backed Team SNAILKICK | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Morphe_ya | 44c | 36.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Team Morphe_ya | 46c | 31.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Team Morphe_ya | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.