La Liga · resolved market
AD Ceuta FC vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb27395b834cbd4dec814b999469ced04c481e6f42ba2d0d0afdf2da4e5bd046e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,017 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,852$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 80c | 1,205$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.28 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 13c | 750$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 634.4$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.72 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 49c | 600$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…8e34backed Under | 16c | 482.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 202.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 192.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 146.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 26c | 124.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 22c | 114.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 54c | 89.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 60c | 87.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 68c | 85.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 68c | 71.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 31c | 50.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 42c | 48.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 68c | 35.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 24.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AD Ceuta FC vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 2.5this page
- AD Ceuta FC vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 1.5Over won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 3.5Under won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.