Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Alina Korneeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb34665108180bfc3a9aed28b1350559a237906fbb3592b1ea78b712dabb70c0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baiof Bai, Korneeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bai | 44c | 2,743$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Korneeva | 59c | 2,400$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.99 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bai | 26c | 1,324$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.76 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Korneeva | 56c | 731.35$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Korneeva | 74c | 393.5$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.19 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Korneeva | 75c | 382.75$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.89 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Bai | 30c | 271.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.56 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…c468backed Korneeva | 78c | 205.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Korneeva | 26c | 151.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Korneeva | 57c | 129.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Bai | 24c | 128.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Korneeva | 52c | 92.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Korneeva | 74c | 82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Korneeva | 40c | 58.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Bai | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Bai | 54c | 51.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Korneeva | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Korneeva | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Korneeva | 73c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…33bfbacked Korneeva | 74c | 40.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Korneeva | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Bai | 68c | 21.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Korneeva | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Korneeva | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Alina Korneevathis page
- Bai vs. Korneeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Bai vs KorneevaBai won
- Set Handicap: Korneeva (-1.5) vs Bai (+1.5)Bai won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.