Cricket · resolved market
International T20 Series: Netherlands vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb34c0745c737577b36f658950df4ac87dd03390ed8130f174e5114e830fd1272
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zimbabweof Netherlands, Zimbabwe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Netherlands | 0c | 5,509$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…e4e2backed Netherlands | 42c | 1,312$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Netherlands | 18c | 1,288$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.11 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Netherlands | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…a101backed Zimbabwe | 58c | 952.01$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…42a0backed Netherlands | 41c | 857$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Netherlands | 9c | 664.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 66 | 9.1%6 W · 60 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Zimbabwe | 77c | 650$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Netherlands | 7c | 641.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68fc…ad11backed Zimbabwe | 59c | 512$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Netherlands | 7c | 450$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Netherlands | 40c | 365.15$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae96…e1a2backed Zimbabwe | 58c | 360$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…5a9ebacked Zimbabwe | 59c | 345$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Netherlands | 18c | 330$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…f6b2backed Zimbabwe | 75c | 267.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Netherlands | 7c | 258.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…c8cebacked Netherlands | 39c | 152.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Zimbabwe | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Netherlands | 33c | 113.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Zimbabwe | 74c | 107.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Zimbabwe | 57c | 105$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Netherlands | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…e84cbacked Netherlands | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Zimbabwe | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…ecffbacked Zimbabwe | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Netherlands | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…1977backed Netherlands | 44c | 45.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8656backed Zimbabwe | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca7…668fbacked Zimbabwe | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Zimbabwe | 67c | 29.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Zimbabwe | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Zimbabwe | 60c | 27.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Zimbabwe | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…bc8cbacked Zimbabwe | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.