Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3be537f8b68adc38e4088f9939555347c2be1a5d80fe20033a7c243d27c90c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Tech Red Raidersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Oklahoma State Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 53c | 578$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.78 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 465.74$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.18 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 421$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.13 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 52c | 279.73$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.46 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 50c | 159.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 49.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 41.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.8wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-11.5)this page
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 168.5Over won
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-10.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.