Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Prairie View A&M vs. Grambling State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3e3079b0cbc967cced802d8d279e5ae8fb40c743bf36e4f06184e6d1add0220
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grambling Stateof Prairie View A&M, Grambling State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grambling State | 77c | 1,113$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.43 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Prairie View A&M | 24c | 524$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Prairie View A&M | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…ddd9backed Grambling State | 50c | 249$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Grambling State | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Prairie View A&M | 24c | 111.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Prairie View A&M | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5590…bb95backed Prairie View A&M | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…9944backed Grambling State | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…b6e8backed Prairie View A&M | 52c | 98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…7e12backed Prairie View A&M | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Prairie View A&M | 22c | 76.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…1766backed Grambling State | 65c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128c…45e8backed Prairie View A&M | 35c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…30e8backed Prairie View A&M | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x572f…ed23backed Prairie View A&M | 33c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…12afbacked Prairie View A&M | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be2…f1bebacked Prairie View A&M | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf682…78eebacked Grambling State | 65c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…74aebacked Grambling State | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…008cbacked Prairie View A&M | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd517…0a2ebacked Grambling State | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…9dd9backed Grambling State | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ea…377dbacked Grambling State | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…35e0backed Grambling State | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54d…2972backed Grambling State | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…fa06backed Grambling State | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…b8d8backed Grambling State | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5029…46c6backed Grambling State | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4479…0331backed Grambling State | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…0e89backed Grambling State | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.